何时ο峰公司的未来是什么VID-19?

正如世界觉得它正在超越大流行，生活正在恢复正常的，全世界由最新变体的Omicron造成的共同案件飞涨，这些计划已经为这些计划带来了扳手。

那么Omicron什么时候会峰？大流行的未来是什么？据前FDA专员兼Healthy Sail面板成员Scott Gottlieb博士说，尽管不确定性，但仍有理由保持乐观。

世界是大流行的第三年，当看过去的大流行时，世界本身就是乐观的原因。

他说：“大流行不会永远持续下去。”“过去的大流行持续了两到五年。我们现在已经三年了。鉴于这一事实是在世界范围内更快地蔓延了……您希望这将是大流行的最后一年。

“I think this is going to be the year we start to transition out of the pandemic phase of this virus

这更像是一个地方性阶段……这个问题逐渐淡入我们日常生活的背景。”他补充说。

Omicron’s Peak
Omicron very much brought the pandemic back into personal and business lives as flight crews around the country continue to deal with staffing issues, cruise lines make wholesale changes, and borders close and reopen.

While it was certainly a major cause of concern for so many, things could look very different soon because, according to Gottlieb, Omicron is “peaking right now.”

“If you look at the epidemiology on the East Coast and the Tri-State and New England, you are seeing cases come down week-over-week,” he said. “A declining epidemic curve is now visible.”

他补充说，早期爆发的国家受到Omicron的打击，开始看到大流行曲线的下降。例如，纽约是seeing probable cases, as measured by the State,与年初的高度相比，在Omicron曲线的后半段中，它的速度稳定下降，尽管它仍在处理大量病例。

尚未被Omicron击中的州也预计也是如此。

States in the Midwest and in the Southwest and Heartland of the country that has typically been two weeks behind the East coast probably “have another two weeks to go” with Omicron before the peak.

However, there is good news for those states and for other areas of the world that have not yet gotten Omicron’s wave—the speed at which the infection spreads, compared to other variants, is much faster and, “the way down looks a lot like the way up,” Gottlieb said.

The Pandemic After Omicron
The future after that remains uncertain, Gottlieb said, but the level of infection combined with the level of vaccination sets up for a positive spring.

“My presumption is that when we get into the spring…I would expect prevalence to be very low,” he said, adding that last summer infection rates were below 10 cases per 100,000 per day.

他说，根据戈特利布（Gottlieb）的说法，对今年夏天的期望甚至要低于此，以至于“我们停止积极地报告和衡量它”。“那将是我们到达真正低水平的春天，我认为到2月，我们将陷入这种流行曲线。”

The big call from Gottlieb, who told attendees on the call that he and his family, including his young children, are planning on going on a cruise this summer, was that ‘folks are going to reclaim these things this summer.”

“We thought last summer would be the summer when everyone released and felt that this was over…but then Delta came along and I think it really pierced that narrative. I am hard-pressed to think something is going to come along this summer that would pierce that narrative in the same way,” he said.

“I think this is going to fade into people’s conscience come this summer,” he said, adding that by Fall, “it will become an endemic virus like other respiratory pathogens.”

COVID-19’s Future
Covid及其突变伴随着一定程度的不确定性。预测它会不断变成流感或普通感冒，但是发生的事情仍然是任何人的猜测。

For Gottlieb, COVID would start acting like the flu “in a bad scenario” as flu prevalence, something that has disappeared over the last two years, is still fairly high. His expectation is that the level of immunity against the virus will all allow society to put COVID on a lower level of worry than the flu.

In fact, next year the risk “might not be from this coronavirus but might be from the flu.”

他说：“在过去的两年中，我们没有将流感免疫力投入到人群中……在此的某个时候，我们将有一个不良的流感季节。”